barsport.clubBeta

barsport.club

Football Analytics · Advanced Data

Monday, September 7, 2026

Latest Analysis

Alavés-Osasuna 5-2: one box entry, five goals

Alavés-Osasuna 5-2: one box entry, five goals

September 6, 2026Read article

Expected goals say 1.60 to 1.64: a perfectly balanced match. The scoreboard says 5-2. Alavés reached the final third with a pass exactly once in ninety minutes, and scored five times. At the other end, Ante Budimir's six shots are worth 1.62 of Osasuna's 1.64 expected goals.

Frankfurt-Augsburg 1-4: twenty-six seconds, and the game changed hands

September 7, 2026

Frankfurt-Augsburg 1-4: twenty-six seconds, and the game changed hands

In the first half Augsburg produced 0.13 expected goals: two blocked shots and a free kick that missed. Then they scored four. Frankfurt are the only side in the five major leagues this season to lose by three goals in a match their own numbers said they were winning. But Frankfurt's problem is not their finishing: it is the seven goals conceded in two matchdays from 3.73 expected.

Frosinone-Venezia 3-2: Venezia have created more expected goals than almost all of Serie A, and have zero points

September 6, 2026

Frosinone-Venezia 3-2: Venezia have created more expected goals than almost all of Serie A, and have zero points

Six point one five expected goals in three matchdays: only Roma and Inter have done better in Serie A. Venezia's points: zero. At the Stirpe they had fifteen shots to twelve, came back from 2-0 down, and lost anyway. On the other side Frosinone have six points from 2.54 expected, and concede more box entries than anyone except Genoa.

More Articles39

Hamburg-Mainz 0-5: twenty-six hundredths of a goal in ninety minutes, at home

Analysis Sep 06

Troyes-Strasbourg 2-6: six goals from 3.52 expected, the biggest single-match gap in Europe

Analysis Sep 06

Gladbach-Elversberg 3-4: the first win the numbers actually give Elversberg

Analysis Sep 06

Werder-Leipzig 3-1: Leipzig's one goal was worth more than Werder's three combined

Analysis Sep 06

Fiorentina-Torino 1-2: Torino created one chance, and scored it

Analysis Sep 06

Hoffenheim-Dortmund 2-3: an hour in control, five minutes to lose it

Analysis Sep 06

Athletic-Atlético 3-0: seventeen box entries and not one shot worth more than 13%

Analysis Sep 06

City-Coventry 1-0: Coventry had two chances bigger than Haaland's goal. And they have not scored in three matchdays

Analysis Sep 06

Roma-Atalanta 2-1: thirty-eight shots, twenty box entries to two, and it took the 93rd minute. The bill came due by a whisker

Analysis Sep 06

Inter-Napoli 3-2: Inter's press has gone from 12 to 6.9 in three matchdays. Then in the 88th came a ball worth 0.93

Analysis Sep 06

Fulham-Palace 2-3: twenty-four box entries to four, and the side with four wins it

Analysis Sep 06

Schalke-Bayern 0-0: twenty-two box entries to zero, PPDA 3.4 against 54.6. And it finishes goalless

Analysis Sep 05

Genoa-Como 1-4: «the scoreline lies». Fàbregas said it himself, and the numbers agree

Analysis Sep 05

Betis-Real Madrid 1-0: three posts, a penalty saved in the 93rd minute and nineteen shots. How to lose a match you won

Analysis Sep 05

Lyon-Auxerre 3-1: zero. Auxerre did not complete a single pass inside twenty metres

Analysis Sep 05

PSG-Monaco 1-2: the day before, we published three things to watch. We got one right and two wrong

Analysis Sep 05

Newcastle-Bournemouth 2-2: coming back from two down on eight hundredths of a chance

Analysis Sep 05

Toulouse-Lille 0-1: twenty-four shots, four big chances, no goals. And Lille go top

Analysis Sep 05

Ipswich-Liverpool 0-2: Iraola's first win came in his worst Liverpool performance

Analysis Sep 05

Stuttgart-Cologne 4-1: four goals from half an expected goal, and Cologne did not score one of their own

Analysis Sep 01

Fantasy football, the credit: thirteen shots, no goals, buy him now

Fantasy Football Sep 01

The teams the market is about to get wrong: six points that were worth less than two

Palermo-Juve Stabia 1-0: the question this match did not answer

Europe is missing 26 goals. We counted them one by one

Analysis Aug 25

Serie A, all ten games: the league that finished worse than anyone in Europe

Analysis Aug 25

Premier League, all ten games: Europe's most lopsided 4-0, and a United defeat the numbers refuse to convict

Analysis Aug 25

La Liga, all sixteen games: Villarreal created 3.54 goals at Atletico and left with a single point

Analysis Aug 25

Ligue 1, all nine games: PSG never got to a shot, and Lens scored five perfect goals

Analysis Aug 25

Hull 2-0 Manchester United: the result all Europe is talking about did not happen the way you were told

Analysis Aug 25

18 shots, 5 big chances, no goals: the most unjust match in Europe

Analysis Aug 25

Roma 4-0 Fiorentina: for once the scoreline did not inflate a thing

Analysis Aug 23

Season Over Already? We Read the Numbers From Matchday One

Analysis Jun 03

We're Looking for Writers: football isn't just numbers

The Project Apr 01

The Project: More Than Bar-Room Banter

The Project Apr 03

When the Scoreline Lies: The Ruthless Truth of the Meritometer

Technical Analysis Apr 06

Scout Engine: Decoding the DNA of Champions

Scouting & Talent Apr 10

Fanta Draft: The Math of Winning

Fantasy Football & Algorithms Apr 14

Nerd Zone: The Raw Code Behind the Game

BI Analytics Jun 05

What We Found in the Odds (and Why It's Not a Promise)